Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeIntility ArenaFull-time recap

Valerenga

WWLD

0–2Full-time recap

Lillestrom

WWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valerenga	Lillestrom
Shots	18 shots/match▲	16 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match	1.71 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	13 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lillestrom. A second useful context is: Lillestrom's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lillestrom.

6.9 days▲Rest daysValerenga · Lillestrom3.81 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Valerenga	Lillestrom	Baseline
Rest days	6.9 days	3.81 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lillestrom show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lillestrom's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsValerenga · Lillestrom14.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Valerenga	Lillestrom	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	14.2 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valerenga favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 9 · 4 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.77 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.19 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/514.2 shots/match

16.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲13.4 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5.6 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.8 shots/match

44.2%Possessionseason · 5/551.8%

7.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55 corners/match

8.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲6.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/59.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valerenga18.8

Lillestrom71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valerenga39.6

Lillestrom71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valerenga54.1

Lillestrom67.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valerenga90.6

Lillestrom53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valerenga53.1

Lillestrom15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valerenga87.5

Lillestrom31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valerenga59.4

Lillestrom47.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.77 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/551.8%

7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.77 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/551.8%

7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.77 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/551.8%

7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲1.5 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲0.25 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲1.76 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShots3/414.8 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/4▲5.75 shots/match

44.3%Possession3/449.8%

10 corners/matchCorners3/45.5 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/49.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.81 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4