Eliteserien · 2026Wed, 15 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeRomssa ArenaFull-time recap

Tromso

WWWW
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTromsoLillestrom
Shots12 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.15 xG/match1.38 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lillestrom's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Lillestrom show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lillestrom's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsTromso · Lillestrom13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTromsoLillestromBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against7 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tromso favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 0 · 14 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/41.75 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/40.5 goals/match
2.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/41.78 xG/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/41.21 xG/match
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/413.8 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/412.3 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/45.5 shots/match
2.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/45.25 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 5/449.8%
7.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/44.75 corners/match
2.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/45 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/49.75 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
80%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/450%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tromso71.9
Lillestrom53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tromso87.5
Lillestrom70.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tromso96.9
Lillestrom63.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tromso59.4
Lillestrom46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tromso59.4
Lillestrom21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tromso90.6
Lillestrom18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tromso81.2
Lillestrom45.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/41.75 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.5 goals/match
2.43 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.78 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/413.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/45.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/449.8%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/41.75 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.5 goals/match
2.43 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.78 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/413.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/45.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/449.8%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 4 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/41.75 goals/match
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.5 goals/match
2.43 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.78 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots5/413.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/45.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/449.8%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.33 goals/match
2.58 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.77 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots4/314.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target4/35.67 shots/match
54.5%Possession4/346.3%
7 corners/matchCorners4/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls4/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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