Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeFredrikstad StadionFull-time recap

Fredrikstad

LWW

1–1Full-time recap

Valerenga

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fredrikstad	Valerenga
Shots	17 shots/match	17 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.58 xG/match	1.67 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	7 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fredrikstad favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Valerenga in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.05 xG/match

1.76 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.71 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/416.3 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

48.5%Possessionseason · 4/445.3%

4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/48.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

9.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fredrikstad50

Valerenga30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fredrikstad38.9

Valerenga43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fredrikstad16.6

Valerenga61.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fredrikstad23.3

Valerenga76.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad10

Valerenga56.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fredrikstad23.3

Valerenga70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fredrikstad20.8

Valerenga57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.05 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/445.3%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.05 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/445.3%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

0.99 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.05 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

48.5%Possession4/445.3%

4.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4