Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeAker StadionFull-time recap

Molde

WLL

4–1Full-time recap

Ham-Kam

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Molde	Ham-Kam
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.73 xG/match▲	0.9 xG/match
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Molde have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.5 fouls/match▲FoulsMolde · Ham-Kam13.3 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Molde	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Fouls	15.5 fouls/match	13.3 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.3%▲PossessionMolde · Ham-Kam41.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Molde	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Possession	62.3%	41.7%	48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Ham-Kam show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ham-Kam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsMolde · Ham-Kam11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Molde	Ham-Kam	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	17.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Molde favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Ham-Kam in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/31.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/33.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.28 xG/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/32.21 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/311.3 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/317.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/34 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/36.33 shots/match

62.3%Possessionseason · 4/341.7%

5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/36.33 corners/match

4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/36.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/313.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/30%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Molde96.7

Ham-Kam10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Molde50

Ham-Kam32.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Molde74.5

Ham-Kam6.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Molde10

Ham-Kam36.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Molde96.7

Ham-Kam70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 67%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Molde46.7

Ham-Kam76.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Molde56.7

Ham-Kam50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/33.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.28 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match

62.3%Possession4/341.7%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/33.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.28 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match

62.3%Possession4/341.7%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/31.33 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/33.33 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals4/31.28 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match

62.3%Possession4/341.7%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 1 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored3/1—

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/1—

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals3/1—

13 shots/matchShots3/1—

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/1—

60.7%Possession3/1—

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/1—

—Cards1/1—

15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4