Eliteserien · 2026Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeAker StadionFull-time recap

Molde

0–1Full-time recap

Lillestrom

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Molde	Lillestrom
Shots	12 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.03 xG/match	1.5 xG/match▲
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	22 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Molde favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lillestrom in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/2—

1.3 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2—

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/2—

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/2—

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/2—

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/2—

63.3%Possessionseason · 3/2—

6.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/2—

3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/2—

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

17 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/2—

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/2—

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/2—

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Molde92.9

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Molde38.1

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Molde54.8

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Molde35.7

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Molde92.9

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Molde42.9

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Molde51.8

Lillestrom—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 2 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

4 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

63.3%Possession3/2—

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards1/0—

17 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Window

Last 10

3 / 2 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

4 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

63.3%Possession3/2—

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards1/0—

17 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Window

Season

3 / 2 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

4 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

63.3%Possession3/2—

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards1/0—

17 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 2home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 2last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4