Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeÅråsenFull-time recap

Lillestrom

3–1Full-time recap

Start

LDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lillestrom	Start
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.81 xG/match▲	0.73 xG/match
Possession	60%	40%
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	18 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Start's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Start's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Start have a visible away split

weak

Start's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.67 shots/match	9.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Start show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Start's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match▲ShotsLillestrom · Start9.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Lillestrom	Start	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	9.5 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Lillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.

53%▲PossessionLillestrom · Start45%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Lillestrom	Start	Baseline
Possession	53%	45%	48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lillestrom favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Start in 0 · 14 too close

2.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/40.75 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/41.75 goals/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/41.2 xG/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/41.52 xG/match

15 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/49.5 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/413.8 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/43 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/44.75 shots/match

53%Possessionseason · 3/445%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/45 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/415 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lillestrom65.4

Start26.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lillestrom73.1

Start16.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lillestrom64.1

Start44.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lillestrom57.7

Start34.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom23.1

Start80.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lillestrom26.9

Start34.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lillestrom47.1

Start36.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.75 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.2 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/43 shots/match

53%Possession3/445%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/415 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.75 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.2 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/43 shots/match

53%Possession3/445%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/415 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 4 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.75 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/41.75 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals3/41.2 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots3/49.5 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/43 shots/match

53%Possession3/445%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/415 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 3 matches

—Goals scored1/30.67 goals/match

—Goals allowed1/32 goals/match

—Expected goals1/30.63 xG/match

—Shots1/37.67 shots/match

—Shots on target1/32.67 shots/match

—Possession1/340.7%

—Corners1/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/315.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4