Lillestrøm SK
Eliteserien · 2026Lillestrøm SK 3–1 IK Start · Eliteserien
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Lillestrøm SK won 3–1.
- Shots
- 12–11
- Shots on target
- 5–5
- Expected goals
- 1.81–0.73
- Possession
- 60%–40%
Full time
What the match recorded
Lillestrom beat Start 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lillestrom – Start): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.81–0.73, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Start have a visible away split
weakStart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 7.67 shots/match | 9.5 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Start show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakStart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Lillestrom | Start | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 shots/match | 9.5 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.3 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakLillestrom have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Lillestrom | Start | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 53% | 45% | 48.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Lillestrøm SK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · IK Start in 0 · 11 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 4.88 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Lillestrøm SK / IK Start
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.