PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Romssa Arena

Tromsø IL 2–0 Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Tromsø IL won 2–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.820.74
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tromso beat Kristiansund BK 2–0. Recorded in this match (Tromso – Kristiansund BK): shots 18–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.82–0.74, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kristiansund BK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kristiansund BK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsTromso · Kristiansund BK10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTromsoKristiansund BKBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against6.25 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Tromso have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.3% ●PossessionTromso · Kristiansund BK34%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTromsoKristiansund BKBaseline
Possession49.3%34%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsTromsø IL 18 shots, Kristiansund BK 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsTromsø IL 5 shots, Kristiansund BK 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.74 xGTromsø IL 1.82 xG, Kristiansund BK 0.74 xG
  • Possession62%38%Tromsø IL 62%, Kristiansund BK 38%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersTromsø IL 9 corners, Kristiansund BK 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsTromsø IL 9 fouls, Kristiansund BK 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsTromsø IL 0 cards, Kristiansund BK 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Tromsø IL
1Draws
2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–3
Tromsø IL — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien2–3
Tromsø IL — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien0–0
Kristiansund BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–0
Tromsø IL — Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tromsø IL favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Kristiansund BK in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tromsø IL4 matchesKristiansund BK3 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/31 goal/match
0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/32.33 goals/match
2.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/31.17 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/310.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/33.33 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession4/334%
7.75 corners/match ●Corners4/32 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTromsø ILKristiansund BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headTromsø IL — Kristiansund BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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