Eliteserien · 2026Tue, 7 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeColor Line StadionFull-time recap

Aalesund

2–3Full-time recap

Fredrikstad

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Aalesund	Fredrikstad
Shots	15 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1 xG/match▲	0.63 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	3 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Fredrikstad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsAalesund · Fredrikstad9.33 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aalesund	Fredrikstad	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	9.33 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	13.3 shots/match	14.7 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Aalesund favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Fredrikstad in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32.33 goals/match

0.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.8 xG/match

1.99 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.79 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314.7 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match

43.7%Possessionseason · 3/347.7%

2.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34 corners/match

7.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38.33 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aalesund4.5

Fredrikstad45.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aalesund60.6

Fredrikstad43.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aalesund25.8

Fredrikstad12.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aalesund77.3

Fredrikstad31.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aalesund77.3

Fredrikstad4.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aalesund4.5

Fredrikstad13.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aalesund52.3

Fredrikstad19.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

43.7%Possession3/347.7%

2.67 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

43.7%Possession3/347.7%

2.67 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

0.97 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

43.7%Possession3/347.7%

2.67 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

17.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4