PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Color Line Stadion

Aalesunds FK 2–3 Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fredrikstad FK won 2–3.

Shots
158
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
10.63
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fredrikstad beat Aalesund 3–2. Recorded in this match (Aalesund – Fredrikstad): shots 15–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1–0.63, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fredrikstad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fredrikstad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAalesund · Fredrikstad9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAalesundFredrikstadBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsAalesunds FK 15 shots, Fredrikstad FK 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsAalesunds FK 6 shots, Fredrikstad FK 5 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG0.63 xGAalesunds FK 1 xG, Fredrikstad FK 0.63 xG
  • Possession49%51%Aalesunds FK 49%, Fredrikstad FK 51%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAalesunds FK 3 corners, Fredrikstad FK 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsAalesunds FK 18 fouls, Fredrikstad FK 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsAalesunds FK 4 cards, Fredrikstad FK 2 cards

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aalesunds FK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fredrikstad FK in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aalesunds FK3 matchesFredrikstad FK3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
0.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.8 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
43.7%Possession3/3● 47.7%
2.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAalesunds FKFredrikstad FK
CompetitionEliteserien
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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