PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Romssa Arena

Tromsø IL 2–0 Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Tromsø IL won 2–0.

Shots
172
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
3.050.26
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tromso beat Rosenborg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Tromso – Rosenborg): shots 17–2, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 3.05–0.26, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsTromso · Rosenborg7.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTromsoRosenborgBaseline
Shots15 shots/match7.67 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against6 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots2 shotsTromsø IL 17 shots, Rosenborg BK 2 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsTromsø IL 6 shots, Rosenborg BK 0 shots
  • Expected goals3.05 xG0.26 xGTromsø IL 3.05 xG, Rosenborg BK 0.26 xG
  • Possession53%47%Tromsø IL 53%, Rosenborg BK 47%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersTromsø IL 7 corners, Rosenborg BK 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsTromsø IL 8 fouls, Rosenborg BK 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsTromsø IL 0 cards, Rosenborg BK 3 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tromsø IL
0Draws
2Rosenborg BK
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien1–0
Rosenborg BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien4–1
Rosenborg BK — Tromsø IL · Eliteserien1–0
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien3–2
Tromsø IL — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tromsø IL favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Rosenborg BK in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tromsø IL3 matchesRosenborg BK3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
2.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.69 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots3/37.67 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/31 shot/match
45%Possession3/3● 48.7%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/36.67 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTromsø ILRosenborg BK
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headTromsø IL — Rosenborg BK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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