PitchMath
Eliteserien · 2026Lerkendal Stadion

Rosenborg BK 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosenborg BK won 2–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.61.15
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosenborg beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rosenborg – Sarpsborg 08 FF): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.6–1.15, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosenborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsRosenborg · Sarpsborg 08 FF12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FFBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsRosenborg BK 14 shots, Sarpsborg 08 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRosenborg BK 6 shots, Sarpsborg 08 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.15 xGRosenborg BK 1.6 xG, Sarpsborg 08 1.15 xG
  • Possession57%43%Rosenborg BK 57%, Sarpsborg 08 43%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersRosenborg BK 7 corners, Sarpsborg 08 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsRosenborg BK 10 fouls, Sarpsborg 08 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardRosenborg BK 3 cards, Sarpsborg 08 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rosenborg BK
2Draws
3Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien2–3
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien2–2
Rosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08 · Eliteserien1–1
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien4–1
Sarpsborg 08 — Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosenborg BK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosenborg BK4 matchesSarpsborg 083 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲ 1 goal/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 1.6 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 12.7 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession4/345.7%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners4/35.67 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eliteserien

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosenborg BKSarpsborg 08
CompetitionEliteserien
Head-to-headRosenborg BK — Sarpsborg 08
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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