Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 12:30 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
Shots14 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.6 xG/match1.15 xG/match
Possession57%43%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Rosenborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rosenborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/matchShotsRosenborg · Sarpsborg 08 FF12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRosenborgSarpsborg 08 FFBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/31.33 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/31 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.6 xG/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.15 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/312.7 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/312.3 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/35.33 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/34.33 shots/match
50.8%Possessionseason · 4/345.7%
6.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/35.67 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/36 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/37.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/333%
25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg63.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg3.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg43.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg3.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg16.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF3.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg76.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg25
Sarpsborg 08 FF40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.6 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/312.7 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/35.33 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/345.7%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.6 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/312.7 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/35.33 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/345.7%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/31 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.6 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/312.7 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/35.33 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/345.7%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/35.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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