Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 17:15 UTCFull timeSparebanken Sør ArenaFull-time recap

Start

LDDL

1–1Full-time recap

Molde

WLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Start	Molde
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.78 xG/match	1.48 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Start's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.6 fouls/match▲FoulsStart · Molde15.4 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Molde	Baseline
Fouls	15.6 fouls/match	15.4 fouls/match	11.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Start show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Start's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsStart · Molde12.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Molde	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	13.2 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Molde have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%▲PossessionStart · Molde61.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Start	Molde	Baseline
Possession	44.4%	61.4%	50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Start favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Molde in 10 · 4 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.42 xG/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.24 xG/match

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲12.4 shots/match

13.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲11.2 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲4.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.2 shots/match

44.4%Possessionseason · 5/561.4%

4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.6 corners/match

4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲3.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/2—

15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/515.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Start34.4

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Start10.4

Molde41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Start55.2

Molde70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Start21.9

Molde3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Start96.9

Molde90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Start15.6

Molde50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Start31.2

Molde51.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/561.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/561.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

44.4%Possession5/561.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/1—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4