Eliteserien · 2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeLerkendal StadionFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

Brann

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRosenborgBrann
Shots9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.27 xG/match1.14 xG/match
Possession41%59%
Corners7 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.5 corners/matchCornersRosenborg · Brann8.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRosenborgBrannBaseline
Corners7.5 corners/match8.67 corners/match5.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rosenborg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rosenborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brann have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionRosenborg · Brann57.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRosenborgBrannBaseline
Possession48.8%57.5%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rosenborg favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Brann in 7 · 3 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.83 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.9 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.72 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/614.5 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/614.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/65.17 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/64.67 shots/match
48.8%Possessionseason · 6/657.5%
7.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/68.67 corners/match
6.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/66.17 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/60%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rosenborg53.1
Brann84.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rosenborg5.2
Brann75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rosenborg42.7
Brann38.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rosenborg15.6
Brann34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg28.1
Brann59.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rosenborg81.2
Brann96.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rosenborg30.5
Brann75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.88 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
51%Possession5/556.4%
8.2 corners/matchCorners5/58.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.9 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots6/614.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/65.17 shots/match
48.8%Possession6/657.5%
7.5 corners/matchCorners6/68.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.83 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.9 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots6/614.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/65.17 shots/match
48.8%Possession6/657.5%
7.5 corners/matchCorners6/68.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/42.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/42 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.96 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots3/413.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/46 shots/match
53%Possession3/455.3%
10 corners/matchCorners3/48.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls3/414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match