Eliteserien · 2026Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeKFUM ArenaFull-time recap

KFUM Oslo

WLLDL

1–0Full-time recap

Sarpsborg 08 FF

WDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Shots	10 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.04 xG/match	1.39 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	1 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sarpsborg 08 FF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have a visible away split

weak

Sarpsborg 08 FF's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.33 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sarpsborg 08 FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sarpsborg 08 FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsKFUM Oslo · Sarpsborg 08 FF11.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF	Baseline
Shots	12.7 shots/match	11.5 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	11.2 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

KFUM Oslo favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Sarpsborg 08 FF in 3 · 5 too close

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.55 xG/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.34 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/611.5 shots/match

11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/612.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/64.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/64.5 shots/match

52.3%Possessionseason · 6/645.8%

4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/65.5 corners/match

3.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/64.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 2/1—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/68.83 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

83%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

KFUM Oslo78.1

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

KFUM Oslo41.7

Sarpsborg 08 FF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

KFUM Oslo57.3

Sarpsborg 08 FF73.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

KFUM Oslo28.1

Sarpsborg 08 FF34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo53.1

Sarpsborg 08 FF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

KFUM Oslo15.6

Sarpsborg 08 FF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

KFUM Oslo39

Sarpsborg 08 FF26.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.5 xG/match

12.2 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

50.8%Possession5/547.8%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.55 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots6/611.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/64.5 shots/match

52.3%Possession6/645.8%

4.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.5 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.55 xG/match

12.7 shots/match▲Shots6/611.5 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/64.5 shots/match

52.3%Possession6/645.8%

4.17 corners/matchCorners6/65.5 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

12 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.46 xG/match

11.3 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

51.3%Possession3/346.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4