PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Malmö FF vs Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.682.23
Expected goals
2.252.69
Shots
14.921.2
Possession
56.9%61.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Malmo FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmo FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.68 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMalmo FF · Hammarby FF21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMalmo FFHammarby FFBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match21.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.41 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF22 matchesHammarby IF22 matches
1.68 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.23 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.91 goals/match
2.25 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.69 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 21.2 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 8.05 shots/match
56.9%Possession22/22● 61.1%
4.86 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.59 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Malmö FF
1Draws
3Hammarby IF
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan4–1
Malmö FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan1–3
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–0
Hammarby IF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Malmö FF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFHammarby IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMalmö FF — Hammarby IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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