PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

AIK vs IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan

AIK

DLDLL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.52
Expected goals
1.141.73
Shots
14.212.6
Possession
54%48.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: IF Elfsborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

IF Elfsborg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

IF Elfsborg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible home split

moderate

AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK23 matchesIF Elfsborg23 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.52 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals10/8▲ 1.73 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots23/2312.6 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.22 shots/match
54% ●Possession23/2348.3%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners23/234.39 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AIK
1Draws
1IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1
IF Elfsborg — AIK · Allsvenskan0–3
AIK — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan2–0
AIK — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan2–1
IF Elfsborg — AIK · Allsvenskan6–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAIKIF Elfsborg
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headAIK — IF Elfsborg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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