Allsvenskan · 20263Arena

Hammarby IF vs IK Sirius · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.232.36
Expected goals
2.692.66
Shots
21.214.8
Possession
61.1%47.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Hammarby FF, 0 drawn, 2 to Sirius. From this fixture's own record: hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Sirius's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sirius's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2.36 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hammarby FF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby FF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHammarby FF · Sirius14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHammarby FFSiriusBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.41 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.59 corners/match ●CornersHammarby FF · Sirius5.59 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHammarby FFSiriusBaseline
Corners6.59 corners/match5.59 corners/match4.86 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hammarby IF favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · IK Sirius in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hammarby IF22 matchesIK Sirius22 matches
2.23 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.36 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.27 goals/match
2.69 xG/matchExpected goals11/102.66 xG/match
21.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/2214.8 shots/match
8.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/225.77 shots/match
61.1% ●Possession22/2247.5%
6.59 corners/match ●Corners22/225.59 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Hammarby IF
0Draws
2IK Sirius
IK Sirius — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan2–0
IK Sirius — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan3–1
Hammarby IF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan3–2
IK Sirius — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan0–3
Hammarby IF — IK Sirius · Allsvenskan3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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