Allsvenskan · 2026

Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.222.13
Expected goals
1.712.69
Shots
12.721.2
Possession
51.3%61.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: mjällby AIF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Hammarby IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Hammarby IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsMjällby AIF · Hammarby IF21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMjällby AIFHammarby IFBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match21.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match9.41 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Mjällby AIF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mjällby AIF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Hammarby IF have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3%PossessionMjällby AIF · Hammarby IF● 61.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMjällby AIFHammarby IFBaseline
Possession51.3%61.1%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mjällby AIF favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hammarby IF in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mjällby AIF23 matchesHammarby IF23 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.71 xG/matchExpected goals8/11▲ 2.69 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 21.2 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 8.05 shots/match
51.3%Possession22/22● 61.1%
4.59 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.59 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Mjällby AIF
0Draws
2Hammarby IF
Hammarby IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan3–0
Hammarby IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–2
Mjällby AIF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan3–1
Hammarby IF — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan3–0
Mjällby AIF — Hammarby IF · Allsvenskan3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

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