PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Malmö FF vs BK Häcken · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.761.62
Expected goals
2.251.67
Shots
14.614.5
Possession
56.6%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: malmö FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Malmö FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Malmö FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · BK Häcken in 2 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF21 matchesBK Häcken21 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.62 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.67 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots21/2114.5 shots/match
5.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.81 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession21/2152%
4.76 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.67 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Malmö FF
2Draws
1BK Häcken
BK Häcken — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan3–2
BK Häcken — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–1
Malmö FF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan3–0
Malmö FF — BK Häcken · Allsvenskan4–0
BK Häcken — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFBK Häcken
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMalmö FF — BK Häcken
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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