PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026

Malmö FF vs Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.680.95
Expected goals
2.251.25
Shots
14.913
Possession
56.9%47.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Malmö FF have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.9% ●PossessionMalmö FF · Kalmar FF47.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMalmö FFKalmar FFBaseline
Possession56.9%47.9%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Malmö FF favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Kalmar FF in 1 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Malmö FF22 matchesKalmar FF22 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.95 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/101.25 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots22/2213 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.95 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession22/2247.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners22/224.86 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Malmö FF
2Draws
1Kalmar FF
Kalmar FF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Kalmar FF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan2–2
Malmö FF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan5–0
Kalmar FF — Malmö FF · Allsvenskan1–0
Malmö FF — Kalmar FF · Allsvenskan1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMalmö FFKalmar FF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headMalmö FF — Kalmar FF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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