Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

AIK

LWWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Västerås SK

LWWDW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AIK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AIK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK have a visible home split

moderate

AIK's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0AIK

1Draws

0Västerås SK

17 May 2026Vasteras SK FK — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

AIK favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Västerås SK in 3 · 5 too close

1.57 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/141.64 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/141.64 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲1.49 xG/match

2.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.91 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1410.4 shots/match

14.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1414.3 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/144.5 shots/match

52.8%●Possessionseason · 14/1446.9%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 14/144.64 corners/match

5.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/146 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲29%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AIK71.9

Västerås SK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AIK56.3

Västerås SK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AIK50

Västerås SK46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AIK34.4

Västerås SK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AIK43.8

Västerås SK75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AIK81.2

Västerås SK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AIK58.6

Västerås SK32

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

AIK14 matchesVästerås SK14 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.64 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.64 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.49 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.4 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.5 shots/match

52.8%●Possession14/1446.9%

6 corners/match●Corners14/144.64 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1413 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

AIK6 matchesVästerås SK7 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/71.57 goals/match

—Expected goals2/41.85 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots6/79.57 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match

54.5%●Possession6/745.1%

7 corners/match●Corners6/74.71 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/714.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/132.8 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4