Allsvenskan · 2026Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

AIK

LWWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Mjällby AIF

DLDLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AIK Stockholm's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm have a visible home split

moderate

AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

3AIK

1Draws

1Mjällby AIF

11 Jul 2026Mjällby AIF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–2

20 Jul 2025Mjällby AIF — AIK · Allsvenskan2–0

11 May 2025AIK — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan2–1

11 Aug 2024AIK — Mjällby AIF · Allsvenskan1–0

13 Apr 2024Mjällby AIF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Mjällby AIF in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK14 matchesMjällby AIF15 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/151.53 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲ 1.4 goals/match

1.23 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.89 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots14/1514.2 shots/match

5.07 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲ 5.53 shots/match

52.8%Possession14/15● 54.3%

6 corners/match ●Corners14/155.07 corners/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1511.9 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AIK71.9

Mjällby AIF78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AIK58.3

Mjällby AIF64.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AIK51.0

Mjällby AIF43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AIK34.4

Mjällby AIF40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AIK43.8

Mjällby AIF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AIK81.2

Mjällby AIF53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AIK58.6

Mjällby AIF60.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

39.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/132.2 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples14 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4