Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 24 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCScheduledHitachi Energy ArenaPre-match analysis

Vasteras SK FK

WLWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Orgryte IS

LDLWD

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Orgryte IS. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.69 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Orgryte IS.

7 days▲Rest daysVasteras SK FK · Orgryte IS4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Vasteras SK FK	Orgryte IS	Baseline
Rest days	7 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vasteras SK FK favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Orgryte IS in 1 · 5 too close

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131.08 goals/match

1.77 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/132.38 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/81.15 xG/match

1.8 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/81.92 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1310.8 shots/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1317.3 shots/match

3.62 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲3.85 shots/match

4.46 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/136 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 13/1344.1%

4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.15 corners/match

5.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/136 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1362%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vasteras SK FK46.9

Orgryte IS9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vasteras SK FK30.2

Orgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vasteras SK FK43.7

Orgryte IS3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vasteras SK FK3.1

Orgryte IS21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK75

Orgryte IS46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK34.4

Orgryte IS15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vasteras SK FK33.6

Orgryte IS23.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

48%Possession5/542.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match

1.97 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.11 xG/match

12 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.5 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match

48%Possession10/1045.7%

4 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match

1.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.38 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals7/81.15 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots13/1310.8 shots/match

3.62 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.85 shots/match

47.8%Possession13/1344.1%

4.69 corners/matchCorners13/134.15 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/63.17 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.99 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match

3.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match

51%Possession6/642.7%

4.67 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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