Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStrandvallenFull-time recap

Mjallby AIF

LDDDL

0–0Full-time recap

Vasteras SK FK

DWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Mjallby AIF	Vasteras SK FK
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	59%	41%
Corners	11 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Vasteras SK FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasteras SK FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.69 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Mjallby AIF favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Vasteras SK FK in 5 · 3 too close

1.46 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.69 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.77 goals/match

1.89 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/71.61 xG/match

2.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/7▲1.8 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1310.8 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲14.4 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.62 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.46 shots/match

55%Possessionseason · 13/1347.8%

5.15 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/134.69 corners/match

4.08 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/135.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1323%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Mjallby AIF84.4

Vasteras SK FK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Mjallby AIF63.5

Vasteras SK FK28.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Mjallby AIF42.7

Vasteras SK FK42.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Mjallby AIF46.9

Vasteras SK FK3.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Mjallby AIF46.9

Vasteras SK FK78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 54%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Mjallby AIF50

Vasteras SK FK34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Mjallby AIF57

Vasteras SK FK32.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/1—

17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

57.2%Possession5/548%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

2.22 xG/match▲Expected goals4/51.97 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

55%Possession10/1048%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches

1.46 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.69 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match

1.89 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.61 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.8 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.62 shots/match

55%Possession13/1347.8%

5.15 corners/matchCorners13/134.69 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲1.43 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.57 goals/match

2.11 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.85 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots6/79.57 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.43 shots/match

56.8%Possession6/745.1%

7.67 corners/matchCorners6/74.71 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/714.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 17 Jul 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4