Allsvenskan · 2026Fri, 29 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeGamla UlleviFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOrgryte ISIF Elfsborg
Shots10 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession51%49%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for IF Elfsborg. A second useful context is: Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for IF Elfsborg.

6.17 daysRest daysOrgryte IS · IF Elfsborg4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOrgryte ISIF ElfsborgBaseline
Rest days6.17 days4 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Orgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

weak

Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

IF Elfsborg have a visible away split

moderate

IF Elfsborg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.2 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Orgryte IS favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · IF Elfsborg in 6 · 7 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/111.45 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/111 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/31.25 xG/match
2.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/30.67 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1110.1 shots/match
18.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1112.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/113.64 shots/match
6.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/113.27 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 10/1144.8%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/113.55 corners/match
5.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/115.27 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1111.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1127%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/11100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Orgryte IS21.9
IF Elfsborg9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Orgryte IS19.8
IF Elfsborg30.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Orgryte IS5.2
IF Elfsborg83.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Orgryte IS21.9
IF Elfsborg9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Orgryte IS59.4
IF Elfsborg15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Orgryte IS15.6
IF Elfsborg9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Orgryte IS29.7
IF Elfsborg12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals2/0
9.6 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
47%Possession5/550.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals6/2
10.7 shots/matchShots10/109.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.5 shots/match
45.9%Possession10/1045.3%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 11 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/111.45 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/111 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals6/31.25 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots10/1110.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/113.64 shots/match
45.9%Possession10/1144.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/113.55 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1111.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
12 shots/matchShots5/58.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/550.4%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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