Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 23 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeGuldfageln ArenaFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKalmar FFDegerfors IF
Shots14 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match10 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Kalmar FF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kalmar FF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/matchShotsKalmar FF · Degerfors IF11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKalmar FFDegerfors IFBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kalmar FF favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 4 · 6 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/91.11 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/70.87 xG/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/71.11 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/911.7 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/910.6 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/93.67 shots/match
5.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/93.89 shots/match
48.2%Possessionseason · 9/949.4%
6.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/94.44 corners/match
4.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/94.33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 1/0
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/914.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kalmar FF34.4
Degerfors IF53.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kalmar FF63.5
Degerfors IF24
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kalmar FF52.1
Degerfors IF66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kalmar FF90.6
Degerfors IF21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF71.9
Degerfors IF90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kalmar FF87.5
Degerfors IF25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kalmar FF80.5
Degerfors IF41.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.89 xG/match
16.8 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
50%Possession5/548%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/70.87 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots9/911.7 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
48.2%Possession9/949.4%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
Cards1/0
12.7 fouls/matchFouls9/914.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/70.87 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots9/911.7 shots/match
5.56 shots/matchShots on target9/93.67 shots/match
48.2%Possession9/949.4%
6.56 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
Cards1/0
12.7 fouls/matchFouls9/914.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41 goals/match
Expected goals1/31.13 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots5/412.3 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/45.5 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/450.5%
8.2 corners/matchCorners5/44.25 corners/match
Cards1/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/410.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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