Allsvenskan · 2026Sat, 16 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeGamla UlleviFull-time recap

Gais

LDDWW

1–1Full-time recap

Degerfors IF

LWDDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Gais	Degerfors IF
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	2 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.87 xG/match	1.01 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Gais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Degerfors IF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Degerfors IF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsGais · Degerfors IF10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Gais	Degerfors IF	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	9.88 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gais have a visible home split

weak

Gais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.5 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gais favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Degerfors IF in 0 · 9 too close

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.13 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 8/81.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/70.87 xG/match

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/71.11 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 8/810.5 shots/match

9.88 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/810.1 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 8/82.88 shots/match

3.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/83.5 shots/match

51%Possessionseason · 8/848.8%

4.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/84 corners/match

4.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/84.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gais65.6

Degerfors IF46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gais51

Degerfors IF17.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gais80.2

Degerfors IF71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gais65.6

Degerfors IF9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gais96.9

Degerfors IF90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gais46.9

Degerfors IF21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gais67.2

Degerfors IF35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/40.82 xG/match

16.8 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

49.4%Possession5/546.2%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match

—Expected goals2/70.87 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots8/810.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.88 shots/match

51%Possession8/848.8%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/814.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match

—Expected goals2/70.87 xG/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots8/810.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/82.88 shots/match

51%Possession8/848.8%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/84 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.6 fouls/matchFouls8/814.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/3▲1.67 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/30.67 goals/match

—Expected goals1/31.13 xG/match

17.5 shots/match▲Shots4/39.33 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/34 shots/match

47.8%Possession4/349%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/39.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4