Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 17 May 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeHitachi Energy ArenaFull-time recap

Vasteras SK FK

LDWLL

1–1Full-time recap

AIK Stockholm

WLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Vasteras SK FK	AIK Stockholm
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.81 xG/match▲	0.69 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

AIK Stockholm's recent record differs from the season

weak

AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.25 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AIK Stockholm have a visible away split

weak

AIK Stockholm's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vasteras SK FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vasteras SK FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/match▲ShotsVasteras SK FK · AIK Stockholm14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Vasteras SK FK	AIK Stockholm	Baseline
Shots	9.63 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	16 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Vasteras SK FK favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 7 · 7 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.25 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/40.96 xG/match

1.95 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/41.88 xG/match

9.63 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲14 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲13.4 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲5.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲4.5 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 8/853.8%

4.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/86.75 corners/match

6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲5.13 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 1/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/813%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Vasteras SK FK28.1

AIK Stockholm84.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Vasteras SK FK19.8

AIK Stockholm57.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Vasteras SK FK25

AIK Stockholm47.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Vasteras SK FK3.1

AIK Stockholm40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK84.4

AIK Stockholm12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Vasteras SK FK37.5

AIK Stockholm90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Vasteras SK FK35.1

AIK Stockholm58.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.85 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

48%Possession5/554.2%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals6/40.96 xG/match

9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲14 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.5 shots/match

47.8%Possession8/853.8%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/86.75 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.5 goals/match

1.17 xG/match▲Expected goals6/40.96 xG/match

9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲14 shots/match

3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲5.5 shots/match

47.8%Possession8/853.8%

4.88 corners/matchCorners8/86.75 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.85 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲4.5 shots/match

51%Possession4/453.5%

5 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.06 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4