Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 11 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStudenternas IPFull-time recap

Sirius

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20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSiriusOrgryte IS
Shots23 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.26 xG/match0.42 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Orgryte IS's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orgryte IS's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sirius show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sirius's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/matchShotsSirius · Orgryte IS10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSiriusOrgryte ISBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Orgryte IS have a visible away split

weak

Orgryte IS's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sirius favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Orgryte IS in 0 · 5 too close

2.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/70.86 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/72.57 goals/match
2.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.26 xG/match
0.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/52.11 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/710.1 shots/match
11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/718.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/73.86 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/76.71 shots/match
49.7%Possessionseason · 7/745%
5.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.86 corners/match
4.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/76 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
43%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sirius53.1
Orgryte IS15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sirius81.3
Orgryte IS20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sirius80.2
Orgryte IS3.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sirius90.6
Orgryte IS15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sirius37.5
Orgryte IS65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sirius59.4
Orgryte IS15.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sirius61
Orgryte IS32
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/53.4 goals/match
2.78 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.3 xG/match
17.8 shots/matchShots5/59.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
53%Possession5/547.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.57 goals/match
2.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.26 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots7/710.1 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/73.86 shots/match
49.7%Possession7/745%
5.14 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls7/712.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.57 goals/match
2.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.26 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots7/710.1 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/73.86 shots/match
49.7%Possession7/745%
5.14 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls7/712.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.75 goals/match
0.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/43.5 goals/match
2.78 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.99 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots4/48 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/42.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession4/441.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/414.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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