PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Strawberry Arena

AIK 2–4 Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan

AIK

DWLLD
2–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Djurgårdens IF won 2–4.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
510
Expected goals
1.313.42
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Djurgardens IF beat AIK Stockholm 4–2. Recorded in this match (AIK Stockholm – Djurgardens IF): shots 14–19, shots on target 5–10, expected goals 1.31–3.42, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.14 corners/match ●CornersAIK Stockholm · Djurgardens IF7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAIK StockholmDjurgardens IFBaseline
Corners7.14 corners/match7 corners/match4.86 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

AIK Stockholm's recent record differs from the season

weak

AIK Stockholm's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsAIK 14 shots, Djurgårdens IF 19 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots10 shotsAIK 5 shots, Djurgårdens IF 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG3.42 xGAIK 1.31 xG, Djurgårdens IF 3.42 xG
  • Possession57%43%AIK 57%, Djurgårdens IF 43%
  • Corners7 corners9 cornersAIK 7 corners, Djurgårdens IF 9 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsAIK 12 fouls, Djurgårdens IF 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAIK 2 cards, Djurgårdens IF 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AIK
2Draws
0Djurgårdens IF
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan0–0
Djurgårdens IF — AIK · Allsvenskan1–1
Djurgårdens IF — AIK · Allsvenskan0–2
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan2–0
AIK — Djurgårdens IF · Allsvenskan2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AIK favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Djurgårdens IF in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AIK7 matchesDjurgårdens IF7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.22 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 17 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.29 shots/match
55.4%Possession7/7● 56.7%
7.14 corners/match ●Corners7/77 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAIKDjurgårdens IF
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headAIK — Djurgårdens IF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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