Allsvenskan · 2026Sun, 3 May 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeBorås ArenaFull-time recap

IF Elfsborg

WDWWL

1–1Full-time recap

AIK Stockholm

WDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	IF Elfsborg	AIK Stockholm
Shots	11 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: IF Elfsborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: IF Elfsborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

IF Elfsborg have a visible home split

weak

IF Elfsborg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.17 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	9.17 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

IF Elfsborg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

IF Elfsborg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.17 shots/match▲ShotsIF Elfsborg · AIK Stockholm14.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	IF Elfsborg	AIK Stockholm	Baseline
Shots	9.17 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AIK Stockholm have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.8%▲PossessionIF Elfsborg · AIK Stockholm55.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	IF Elfsborg	AIK Stockholm	Baseline
Possession	39.8%	55.2%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

IF Elfsborg favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 3 · 6 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.17 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.17 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2—

0.67 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2—

9.17 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲14.5 shots/match

11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/612 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲5.67 shots/match

3.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/63.83 shots/match

39.8%Possessionseason · 6/655.2%

3.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/67.17 corners/match

5.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

IF Elfsborg9.4

AIK Stockholm78.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

IF Elfsborg27.1

AIK Stockholm63.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

IF Elfsborg85.4

AIK Stockholm65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

IF Elfsborg15.6

AIK Stockholm46.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg65.6

AIK Stockholm9.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

IF Elfsborg15.6

AIK Stockholm96.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

IF Elfsborg23.4

AIK Stockholm67.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

39.8%Possession5/555%

2.6 corners/matchCorners5/58.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲14.5 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match

39.8%Possession6/655.2%

3.17 corners/matchCorners6/67.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.17 shots/matchShots6/6▲14.5 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲5.67 shots/match

39.8%Possession6/655.2%

3.17 corners/matchCorners6/67.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/610.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goals1/2—

11.7 shots/matchShots3/311.7 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

34%Possession3/357.3%

4 corners/matchCorners3/37 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4