Allsvenskan · 2026Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStrawberry ArenaFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAIK StockholmMalmo FF
Shots18 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners16 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AIK Stockholm, Malmo FF. A second useful context is: AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AIK Stockholm, Malmo FF.

4 daysRest daysAIK Stockholm · Malmo FF4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAIK StockholmMalmo FFBaseline
Rest days4 days4 days
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

AIK Stockholm show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/matchShotsAIK Stockholm · Malmo FF12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAIK StockholmMalmo FFBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AIK Stockholm have a visible home split

weak

AIK Stockholm's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match15 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AIK Stockholm favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Malmo FF in 4 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 2/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 2/0
15 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/512 shots/match
12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/515.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/54 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/55.4 shots/match
53.8%Possessionseason · 5/548.4%
7.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.6 corners/match
4.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/57.8 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/540%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AIK Stockholm71.9
Malmo FF50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AIK Stockholm71.9
Malmo FF46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AIK Stockholm58.4
Malmo FF37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AIK Stockholm84.4
Malmo FF34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm9.4
Malmo FF50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AIK Stockholm96.9
Malmo FF65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AIK Stockholm69.5
Malmo FF46.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals2/0
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/548.4%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals2/0
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/548.4%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
Expected goals2/0
15 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/548.4%
7.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
17.3 shots/matchShots3/311 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
53%Possession3/346.3%
7.33 corners/matchCorners3/36 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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