PitchMath
Allsvenskan · 2026Stora Valla

Degerfors IF 2–1 AIK · Allsvenskan

2–1Full-time analysis

AIK

WDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Degerfors IF won 2–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.620.55
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Degerfors IF beat AIK Stockholm 2–1. Recorded in this match (Degerfors IF – AIK Stockholm): shots 11–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.62–0.55, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AIK Stockholm show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsDegerfors IF · AIK Stockholm14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDegerfors IFAIK StockholmBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against7 shots/match13 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsDegerfors IF 11 shots, AIK 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDegerfors IF 2 shots, AIK 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.55 xGDegerfors IF 0.62 xG, AIK 0.55 xG
  • Possession46%54%Degerfors IF 46%, AIK 54%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersDegerfors IF 4 corners, AIK 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsDegerfors IF 17 fouls, AIK 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsDegerfors IF 3 cards, AIK 4 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Degerfors IF
1Draws
3AIK
Degerfors IF — AIK · Allsvenskan0–1
AIK — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan3–0
AIK — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan2–0
Degerfors IF — AIK · Allsvenskan2–1
AIK — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Degerfors IF favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · AIK in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Degerfors IF4 matchesAIK4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.3 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
51.3%Possession4/4● 53.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/45.5 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Allsvenskan

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDegerfors IFAIK
CompetitionAllsvenskan
Head-to-headDegerfors IF — AIK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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