Allsvenskan · 2026Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeStora VallaFull-time recap

Degerfors IF

LWL

2–1Full-time recap

AIK Stockholm

WDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Degerfors IF	AIK Stockholm
Shots	11 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.62 xG/match▲	0.55 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

AIK Stockholm show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AIK Stockholm's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.75 shots/match▲ShotsDegerfors IF · AIK Stockholm14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Degerfors IF	AIK Stockholm	Baseline
Shots	9.75 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	7 shots/match	13 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Degerfors IF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AIK Stockholm in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/2—

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/2—

9.75 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match

2.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 4/453.3%

5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Degerfors IF59.4

AIK Stockholm71.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Degerfors IF23.9

AIK Stockholm68.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Degerfors IF85.4

AIK Stockholm55.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Degerfors IF3.1

AIK Stockholm53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF90.6

AIK Stockholm15.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Degerfors IF71.9

AIK Stockholm53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Degerfors IF48.4

AIK Stockholm54.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals4/2—

9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.3 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

51.3%Possession4/453.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals4/2—

9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.3 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

51.3%Possession4/453.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals4/2—

9.75 shots/matchShots4/4▲14.3 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5 shots/match

51.3%Possession4/453.3%

5.75 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

0.59 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

9.67 shots/matchShots3/2—

1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

53%Possession3/2—

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4