Allsvenskan · 2026Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeEleda StadionFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMalmo FFSirius
Shots15 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Malmo FF favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sirius in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/43 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/2
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/2
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412.3 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/411.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.25 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43 shots/match
49.5%Possessionseason · 4/444.3%
5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match
5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Malmo FF53.1
Sirius28.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Malmo FF52.1
Sirius60.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Malmo FF41.7
Sirius86.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Malmo FF34.4
Sirius71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF56.2
Sirius65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Malmo FF53.1
Sirius21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Malmo FF48.4
Sirius43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/43 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match
Expected goals0/2
12.8 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.5%Possession4/444.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/43 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match
Expected goals0/2
12.8 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.5%Possession4/444.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/43 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/40.75 goals/match
Expected goals0/2
12.8 shots/matchShots4/412.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.5%Possession4/444.3%
5.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/1
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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