PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.03
Expected goals
1.021.26
Shots
11.712.1
Possession
53.2%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vélez Sarsfield's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Vélez Sarsfield's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vélez Sarsfield's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have a visible away split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vélez Sarsfield favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in 2 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vélez Sarsfield30 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza29 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/291.03 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.31 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals12/11▲ 1.26 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots30/2912.1 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target30/293.97 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession30/2946.6%
4.27 corners/match ●Corners30/293.86 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls30/2912.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vélez Sarsfield
0Draws
1Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol3–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVélez SarsfieldGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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