PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Tigre

DLLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.611.04
Expected goals
1.641.28
Shots
14.513.4
Possession
48.8%46.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: independiente Rivadavia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Independiente Rivadavia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Independiente Rivadavia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Tigre in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia28 matchesTigre27 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/271.04 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed28/27▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/111.28 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2713.4 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/274.07 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession28/2746.9%
4.21 corners/match ●Corners28/274.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/112.27 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2711.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Rivadavia
0Draws
0Tigre
Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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