PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia vs Tigre · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Tigre

DWDLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.651
Expected goals
1.71.2
Shots
14.313.4
Possession
49.5%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Tigre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tigre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Tigre in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia26 matchesTigre25 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/251 goal/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/91.2 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2513.4 shots/match
5.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/253.88 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession26/2546.7%
4.15 corners/match ●Corners26/254.04 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/112.27 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Rivadavia
0Draws
0Tigre
Tigre — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaTigre
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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