Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.881.17
Expected goals
0.81.3
Shots
11.613.6
Possession
44%57.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.12 corners/matchCornersAtlético Tucumán · Rosario Central● 5.34 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético TucumánRosario CentralBaseline
Corners5.12 corners/match5.34 corners/match4.2 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rosario Central have a visible away split

moderate

Rosario Central's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionAtlético Tucumán · Rosario Central● 57.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético TucumánRosario CentralBaseline
Possession44%57.4%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Tucumán favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Rosario Central in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Tucumán25 matchesRosario Central29 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored25/29▲ 1.17 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed25/290.97 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals9/12▲ 1.3 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/29▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target25/29▲ 4.69 shots/match
44%Possession25/29● 57.4%
5.12 corners/matchCorners25/29● 5.34 corners/match
3.45 cards/matchCards11/122.42 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2911.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Tucumán
0Draws
1Rosario Central
Rosario Central — Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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