PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171.65
Expected goals
1.31.7
Shots
13.614.3
Possession
57.4%49.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rosario Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rosario Central have a visible home split

moderate

Rosario Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosario Central favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Rivadavia in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosario Central29 matchesIndependiente Rivadavia26 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored29/26▲ 1.65 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/261.15 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals12/10▲ 1.7 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots29/26▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target29/26▲ 5.12 shots/match
57.4% ●Possession29/2649.5%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners29/264.15 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/102 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2611.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rosario Central
0Draws
1Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia — Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosario CentralIndependiente Rivadavia
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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