PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Rosario Central 5–0 Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

5–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rosario Central won 5–0.

Shots
216
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.30.36
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rosario Central beat Independiente Rivadavia 5–0. Recorded in this match (Rosario Central – Independiente Rivadavia): shots 21–6, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.3–0.36, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rosario Central's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rosario Central's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosario Central have a visible home split

moderate

Rosario Central's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rosario Central have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2% ●PossessionRosario Central · Independiente Rivadavia48.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRosario CentralIndependiente RivadaviaBaseline
Possession57.2%48.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsRosario Central 21 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsRosario Central 9 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.3 xG0.36 xGRosario Central 3.3 xG, Independiente Rivadavia 0.36 xG
  • Possession61%39%Rosario Central 61%, Independiente Rivadavia 39%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersRosario Central 9 corners, Independiente Rivadavia 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsRosario Central 9 fouls, Independiente Rivadavia 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsRosario Central 1 card, Independiente Rivadavia 3 cards
  • Passes489 passes312 passesRosario Central 489 passes, Independiente Rivadavia 312 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.5%78.9%Rosario Central 84.5%, Independiente Rivadavia 78.9%
  • Shots inside box15 shots3 shotsRosario Central 15 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockRosario Central 4 blocks, Independiente Rivadavia 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesRosario Central 3 saves, Independiente Rivadavia 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesRosario Central 1 offside, Independiente Rivadavia 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rosario Central
0Draws
1Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia — Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rosario Central favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Rivadavia in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rosario Central32 matchesIndependiente Rivadavia29 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored32/29▲ 1.55 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/291.24 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals15/13▲ 1.55 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots32/2914.2 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target32/29▲ 5.1 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession32/2948.5%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners32/294.24 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards13/112.18 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/2911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRosario CentralIndependiente Rivadavia
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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