PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Banfield 1–1 Rosario Central · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Banfield and Rosario Central drew 1–1.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.580.91
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Banfield and Rosario Central drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Banfield – Rosario Central): shots 21–13, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.58–0.91, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Banfield's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Banfield's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rosario Central show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rosario Central's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBanfield · Rosario Central13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBanfieldRosario CentralBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Banfield have a visible home split

moderate

Banfield's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsBanfield 21 shots, Rosario Central 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsBanfield 5 shots, Rosario Central 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.91 xGBanfield 1.58 xG, Rosario Central 0.91 xG
  • Possession35%65%Banfield 35%, Rosario Central 65%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBanfield 7 corners, Rosario Central 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsBanfield 11 fouls, Rosario Central 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsBanfield 2 cards, Rosario Central 2 cards
  • Passes266 passes533 passesBanfield 266 passes, Rosario Central 533 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.1%85.7%Banfield 74.1%, Rosario Central 85.7%
  • Shots inside box11 shots4 shotsBanfield 11 shots, Rosario Central 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksBanfield 5 blocks, Rosario Central 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesBanfield 1 save, Rosario Central 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesBanfield 1 offside, Rosario Central 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Banfield
0Draws
1Rosario Central
Rosario Central — Banfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Banfield favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Rosario Central in 13

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Banfield27 matchesRosario Central31 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored27/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed27/31▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals11/14▲ 1.23 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots27/31▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/31▲ 4.65 shots/match
40.6%Possession27/31● 57.1%
3.56 corners/matchCorners27/31● 5.26 corners/match
2.89 cards/matchCards9/122.42 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls27/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBanfieldRosario Central
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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