PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Lanús 2–0 Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús

LWWWD
2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lanús won 2–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.570.56
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lanús beat Vélez Sarsfield 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lanús – Vélez Sarsfield): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.57–0.56, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lanús's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lanús's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsLanús 16 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLanús 6 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.56 xGLanús 1.57 xG, Vélez Sarsfield 0.56 xG
  • Possession48%52%Lanús 48%, Vélez Sarsfield 52%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersLanús 4 corners, Vélez Sarsfield 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsLanús 8 fouls, Vélez Sarsfield 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLanús 2 cards, Vélez Sarsfield 3 cards
  • Passes448 passes485 passesLanús 448 passes, Vélez Sarsfield 485 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.9%77.1%Lanús 79.9%, Vélez Sarsfield 77.1%
  • Shots inside box8 shots4 shotsLanús 8 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksLanús 3 blocks, Vélez Sarsfield 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesLanús 3 saves, Vélez Sarsfield 5 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesLanús 4 offsides, Vélez Sarsfield 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lanús
0Draws
0Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield — Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lanús favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lanús31 matchesVélez Sarsfield31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.23 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowed31/310.87 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.98 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.7 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.06 shots/match
51.1%Possession31/31● 53.2%
4.13 corners/matchCorners31/31● 4.32 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/102.6 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLanúsVélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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