Season Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Goals scored 1.11 – 1.18
Expected goals 1.36 – 0.94
Shots 12.6 – 11.4
Possession 51.7% – 53.3% Story Comparison H2H Evidence More football 30-second read
What the record shows The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: Lanús favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 3 · 2 too close
▲ recorded edge● higher value (descriptive) too close
Season Last 10 Last 5 Home–Away Style profile Rest and recent workload
Lanús 28 matches Vélez Sarsfield 28 matches
1.11 goals/match Goals scored28/28 ▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.93 goals/match Goals allowed28/28 ▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲ Expected goals10/10 0.94 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲ Shots28/28 11.4 shots/match
4.36 shots/match ▲ Shots on target28/28 3.89 shots/match
51.7% Possession28/28 ● 53.3%
4.21 corners/match Corners28/28 ● 4.36 corners/match
2.57 cards/match Cards7/10 2.6 cards/match
12.5 fouls/match Fouls28/28 11.5 fouls/match
Lanús 10 matches Vélez Sarsfield 10 matches
1.1 goals/match Goals scored10/10 ▲ 1.2 goals/match
1 goal/match Goals allowed10/10 ▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲ Expected goals10/10 0.94 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲ Shots10/10 11.8 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲ Shots on target10/10 4 shots/match
50.7% Possession10/10 ● 52.6%
5.3 corners/match Corners10/10 ● 5.4 corners/match
11.5 fouls/match Fouls10/10 11.5 fouls/match
Lanús 5 matches Vélez Sarsfield 5 matches
1.2 goals/match Goals scored5/5 1.2 goals/match
1 goal/match Goals allowed5/5 1 goal/match
1.43 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/5 0.85 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲ Shots5/5 10.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲ Shots on target5/5 3.2 shots/match
5.8 corners/match ● Corners5/5 4.8 corners/match
12.6 fouls/match Fouls5/5 13.2 fouls/match
Lanús 14 matches Vélez Sarsfield 14 matches
1 goal/match Goals scored14/14 ▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲ Goals allowed14/14 0.86 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲ Expected goals5/5 0.74 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲ Shots14/14 9.93 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲ Shots on target14/14 3.43 shots/match
55.4% ● Possession14/14 50.7%
5.07 corners/match ● Corners14/14 3.57 corners/match
2.33 cards/match Cards3/4 3 cards/match
11.6 fouls/match Fouls14/14 12.3 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches 26.9 days Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/1 30 days
Lanús / Vélez Sarsfield
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1 Lanús
0 Draws
0 Vélez Sarsfield
21 Mar 2026 Vélez Sarsfield — Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol 0–1
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade B · Useful evidence Useful evidence — limited
Season samples 28 / 28 home / away teams
Recent samples 5 / 5 last-five windows
Freshness 30 days stale at cutoff
At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff. Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol