PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Racing Club vs Belgrano · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.071.1
Expected goals
1.121.19
Shots
12.712.4
Possession
56.6%51%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: belgrano's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: racing Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Belgrano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Belgrano's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Racing Club have a visible home split

moderate

Racing Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Racing Club favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Belgrano in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Racing Club29 matchesBelgrano31 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored29/311.1 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed29/31▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals13/14▲ 1.19 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots29/3112.4 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/313.81 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession29/3151%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners29/313.74 corners/match
4.31 cards/matchCards13/122.33 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls29/3111.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Racing Club
0Draws
0Belgrano
Belgrano — Racing Club · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRacing ClubBelgrano
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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