PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Independiente Rivadavia 4–3 Aldosivi · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

4–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 4–3.

Shots
1525
Shots on target
89
Expected goals
2.582.16
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Rivadavia beat Aldosivi 4–3. Recorded in this match (Independiente Rivadavia – Aldosivi): shots 15–25, shots on target 8–9, expected goals 2.58–2.16, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aldosivi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Aldosivi's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.68 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Rivadavia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Rivadavia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Rivadavia · Aldosivi12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente RivadaviaAldosiviBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots25 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 15 shots, Aldosivi 25 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots9 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Aldosivi 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG2.16 xGIndependiente Rivadavia 2.58 xG, Aldosivi 2.16 xG
  • Possession54%46%Independiente Rivadavia 54%, Aldosivi 46%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 2 corners, Aldosivi 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 13 fouls, Aldosivi 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 3 cards, Aldosivi 2 cards
  • Passes396 passes324 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 396 passes, Aldosivi 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.8%69.4%Independiente Rivadavia 77.8%, Aldosivi 69.4%
  • Shots inside box8 shots15 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Aldosivi 15 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 4 blocks, Aldosivi 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves4 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 6 saves, Aldosivi 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideIndependiente Rivadavia 2 offsides, Aldosivi 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Rivadavia
1Draws
0Aldosivi
Aldosivi — Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Aldosivi in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia26 matchesAldosivi25 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/250.68 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/251.4 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/90.89 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2512 shots/match
5.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/253.36 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession26/2542.1%
4.15 corners/matchCorners26/25● 4.16 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/123.33 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaAldosivi
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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