PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

River Plate 3–1 Independiente Rivadavia · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

River Plate won 3–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
1.91.23
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

River Plate beat Independiente Rivadavia 3–1. Recorded in this match (River Plate – Independiente Rivadavia): shots 15–10, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 1.9–1.23, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

River Plate's recent record differs from the season

moderate

River Plate's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Rivadavia have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente Rivadavia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

River Plate have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.4% ●PossessionRiver Plate · Independiente Rivadavia49.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRiver PlateIndependiente RivadaviaBaseline
Possession64.4%49.3%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsRiver Plate 15 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 10 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsRiver Plate 10 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG1.23 xGRiver Plate 1.9 xG, Independiente Rivadavia 1.23 xG
  • Possession58%42%River Plate 58%, Independiente Rivadavia 42%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersRiver Plate 2 corners, Independiente Rivadavia 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsRiver Plate 11 fouls, Independiente Rivadavia 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsRiver Plate 2 cards, Independiente Rivadavia 4 cards
  • Passes508 passes364 passesRiver Plate 508 passes, Independiente Rivadavia 364 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.5%72.3%River Plate 79.5%, Independiente Rivadavia 72.3%
  • Shots inside box10 shots5 shotsRiver Plate 10 shots, Independiente Rivadavia 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksRiver Plate 2 blocks, Independiente Rivadavia 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesRiver Plate 4 saves, Independiente Rivadavia 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesRiver Plate 1 offside, Independiente Rivadavia 5 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0River Plate
1Draws
0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia — River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: River Plate favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Rivadavia in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

River Plate28 matchesIndependiente Rivadavia25 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored28/25▲ 1.56 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/251.08 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals12/9▲ 1.61 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots28/2514.3 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/255 shots/match
64.4% ●Possession28/2549.3%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners28/254.24 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards12/102 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2511.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Sept 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRiver PlateIndependiente Rivadavia
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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