Atlético Tucumán
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Atlético Tucumán 1–2 River Plate · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
River Plate won 1–2.
- Shots
- 6–18
- Shots on target
- 1–5
- Expected goals
- 0.62–1.01
- Possession
- 25%–75%
Full time
What the match recorded
River Plate beat Atlético Tucumán 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Tucumán – River Plate): shots 6–18, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.62–1.01, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
River Plate's recent record differs from the season
moderateRiver Plate's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.4 goals/match | 1.38 goals/match | 1.04 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Atlético Tucumán | River Plate | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.12 corners/match | 5.34 corners/match | 4.2 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
strongRiver Plate have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Atlético Tucumán | River Plate | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 44% | 64.7% | 49.8% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Atlético Tucumán favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · River Plate in 9 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Atlético Tucumán / River Plate
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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