PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata 2–1 Platense · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes de La Plata won 2–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
1.080.78
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes de La Plata beat Platense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de La Plata – Platense): shots 16–12, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 1.08–0.78, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Platense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Platense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.78 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes de La Plata have a visible home split

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 16 shots, Platense 12 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 10 shots, Platense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.78 xGEstudiantes de La Plata 1.08 xG, Platense 0.78 xG
  • Possession57%43%Estudiantes de La Plata 57%, Platense 43%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersEstudiantes de La Plata 2 corners, Platense 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsEstudiantes de La Plata 15 fouls, Platense 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsEstudiantes de La Plata 4 cards, Platense 3 cards
  • Passes423 passes310 passesEstudiantes de La Plata 423 passes, Platense 310 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%66.8%Estudiantes de La Plata 78%, Platense 66.8%
  • Shots inside box11 shots6 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 11 shots, Platense 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksEstudiantes de La Plata 1 block, Platense 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save8 savesEstudiantes de La Plata 1 save, Platense 8 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesEstudiantes de La Plata 0 offsides, Platense 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Estudiantes de La Plata
0Draws
0Platense
Platense — Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Platense in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata26 matchesPlatense27 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/270.78 goals/match
0.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.19 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/90.98 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots26/2712.7 shots/match
5.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/274.11 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession26/2749.5%
4.04 corners/matchCorners26/27● 4.19 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de La PlataPlatense
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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