Serie A · 2026

Coritiba vs Flamengo · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.362
Expected goals
0.971.64
Shots
11.115.6
Possession
39.6%56.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.36 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Flamengo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · Flamengo15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaFlamengoBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Coritiba have a visible home split

moderate

Coritiba's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Flamengo in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba28 matchesFlamengo28 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.82 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals24/25▲ 1.64 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.39 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 5.36 shots/match
39.6%Possession28/28● 56.3%
3.82 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.29 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Coritiba
0Draws
4Flamengo
Flamengo — Coritiba · Serie A3–0
Coritiba — Flamengo · Serie A2–3
Flamengo — Coritiba · Serie A3–0
Coritiba — Flamengo · Serie A1–0
Flamengo — Coritiba · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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