Corinthians
Serie A · 2026Corinthians vs Grêmio · Serie A
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.07–1.07
- Expected goals
- 1.04–0.89
- Shots
- 13–11.4
- Possession
- 55%–49.7%
30-second read
What the record shows
The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: gremio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Gremio show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakGremio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Corinthians | Gremio | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 shots/match | 11.4 shots/match | 13.9 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.5 shots/match | 16.2 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Corinthians favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Grêmio in 0 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 49 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Corinthians / Grêmio
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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