PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.611.68
Expected goals
1.511.2
Shots
14.915.3
Possession
55.4%51.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: palmeiras's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five shots average is above their season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 6 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro28 matchesPalmeiras28 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.68 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.2 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots28/2815.3 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target28/285.18 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession28/2851.4%
5.25 corners/matchCorners28/28● 6.14 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/72.57 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls28/2814 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
2Draws
2Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–0
Cruzeiro — Palmeiras · Serie A2–1
Cruzeiro — Palmeiras · Serie A1–2
Palmeiras — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required