PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Neo Quimica Arena

Corinthians vs Botafogo · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.071.45
Expected goals
1.041.29
Shots
1314.4
Possession
55%47.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians28 matchesBotafogo29 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/291.66 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals24/26▲ 1.29 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots28/29▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target28/29▲ 5.1 shots/match
55% ●Possession28/2947.6%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners28/294.66 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/73.14 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2913.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Corinthians
2Draws
3Botafogo
Botafogo — Corinthians · Serie A3–1
Corinthians — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — Corinthians · Serie A1–1
Botafogo — Corinthians · Serie A2–1
Corinthians — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansBotafogo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCorinthians — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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