Serie A · 2026

Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.04
Expected goals
1.380.97
Shots
15.913
Possession
49.2%42.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: RB Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: chapecoense-sc's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

RB Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Bragantino · Chapecoense-sc13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB BragantinoChapecoense-scBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Chapecoense-sc have a visible away split

moderate

Chapecoense-sc's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chapecoense-sc's recent record differs from the season

weak

Chapecoense-sc's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino26 matchesChapecoense26 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.04 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.96 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/230.97 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613 shots/match
5.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.42 shots/match
49.2% ●Possession26/2642.7%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners26/263.96 corners/match
4.8 cards/matchCards5/31.33 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Red Bull Bragantino
0Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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