PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Fluminense vs Internacional · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.651.12
Expected goals
1.31.39
Shots
14.514.7
Possession
58.5%48.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionFluminense · Internacional48.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseInternacionalBaseline
Possession58.5%48.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Internacional in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense26 matchesInternacional26 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.39 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots26/2614.7 shots/match
5.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.27 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession26/2648.8%
5.58 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.19 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fluminense
1Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Fluminense · Serie A2–0
Fluminense — Internacional · Serie A1–0
Fluminense — Internacional · Copa do Brasil1–1
Internacional — Fluminense · Copa do Brasil1–2
Internacional — Fluminense · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseInternacional
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFluminense — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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